Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
14th · 11 pts2–2FULL TIME
Amed
2nd · 23 pts17% Gençlerbirliği
19% Draw
64% Amed
OUR PICK
Amed to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.06 – 2.25
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.00X5.2121.56
Goals 2.5Over1.56Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
58%
Double chance@1.20
X2
83%
Season stats
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Amed1.2Goals per game2.5
1.8Conceded per game1.1
1.10Points per game2.30
30%Win rate70%
-6Goal difference14
4Form, last 5 (pts)13
Gençlerbirliği S.K. form
WWLLDH Alanyaspor5–0
H Karaköprü Belediyespor5–0
A Konyaspor2–0
H Galatasaray0–1
H Amed2–2
Amed form
WWWDWH Eyüpspor5–1
A Samsunspor1–2
H Konyaspor1–0
A Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–2
H Beşiktaş3–2
Head to head
2
Gençlerbirliği
3
Draw
0
Amed
Oct 2026Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Amed2–2
Mar 2025Amed – Gençlerbirliği S.K.1–1
Oct 2024Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Amed1–1
Jan 2017Amed – Gençlerbirliği S.K.0–5
Dec 2016Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Amed6–0
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Amed clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.06 for Gençlerbirliği S.K., 2.25 for Amed), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 14th on 11 points; Amed are 2nd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.