Over 1.5 goals@1.62
Over 1.5
62%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK
15th · 8 pts1–3FULL TIME
Erzurumspor FK
11th · 14 pts45% Gaziantep
29% Draw
25% Erzurumspor
OUR PICK
Gaziantep FK to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.21
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.85
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.21X3.4223.94
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
Gaziantep FKErzurumspor FK0.9Goals per game0.9
1.7Conceded per game1.5
0.80Points per game1.40
20%Win rate40%
-8Goal difference-6
0Form, last 5 (pts)10
Gaziantep FK form
LWLLLA Trabzonspor2–0
A Etimesgut SK0–4
H Erzurumspor FK1–3
A Başakşehir2–1
H Çorum FK0–3
Erzurumspor FK form
LWWDWH Çorum FK1–3
A Gaziantep FK1–3
H Eyüpspor2–0
A Alanyaspor0–0
H Samsunspor1–0
Head to head
0
Gaziantep
2
Draw
3
Erzurumspor
Oct 2026Gaziantep FK – Erzurumspor FK1–3
Apr 2021Gaziantep FK – Erzurumspor FK2–3
Jan 2021Erzurumspor FK – Gaziantep FK1–1
May 2018Gaziantep FK – Erzurumspor FK0–0
Apr 2018Erzurumspor FK – Gaziantep FK2–1
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Gaziantep FK slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.24 for Gaziantep FK, 0.85 for Erzurumspor FK), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gaziantep FK sit 15th on 8 points; Erzurumspor FK are 11th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.