Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
WALPremier League · Matchday 14Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Essity Stadium
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2nd · 35 pts2–0FULL TIME
Llandudno
10th · 16 pts76% GAP
15% Draw
9% Llandudno
OUR PICK
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
Model probability 76% · fair odds
1.32
Expected goals
2.49 – 0.74
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.32X6.48211.05
Goals 2.5Over1.60Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.92
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.92
NG
52%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
GAP Connah S Quay FCLlandudno2.1Goals per game1.5
0.6Conceded per game1.9
2.33Points per game1.07
73%Win rate33%
23Goal difference-6
13Form, last 5 (pts)0
GAP Connah S Quay FC form
DWWWWA The New Saints0–0
H Llandudno2–0
H Porthmadog4–0
A Briton Ferry1–2
H Penybont1–0
Llandudno form
LLWLLA Briton Ferry3–0
A GAP Connah S Quay FC2–0
A Llanefydd0–1
H Airbus UK1–4
H Cardiff MET0–1
Head to head
4
GAP
0
Draw
1
Llandudno
Oct 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno2–0
Nov 2025Llandudno – GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
Aug 2021GAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno2–0
Dec 2018GAP Connah S Quay FC – Llandudno3–0
Sept 2018Llandudno – GAP Connah S Quay FC0–4
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes GAP Connah S Quay FC clear favourites, giving them a 76% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.49 for GAP Connah S Quay FC, 0.74 for Llandudno), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 35 points; Llandudno are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.