Over 1.5 goals@1.64
Over 1.5
61%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 32Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Chuncheon Songam Stadium
Gangwon FC
5th · 48 pts1–1FULL TIME
Incheon United
6th · 46 pts43% Gangwon
30% Draw
27% Incheon
OUR PICK
Gangwon FC to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.18 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.3523.66
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.51
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
59%
Double chance@1.38
1X
73%
Season stats
Gangwon FCIncheon United1.2Goals per game1.3
0.9Conceded per game1.1
1.45Points per game1.39
33%Win rate36%
10Goal difference8
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Gangwon FC form
LWDDLA Ulsan Hyundai FC2–1
H Kuching FA1–0
A FC Seoul1–1
H Incheon United1–1
H Phnom Penh Crown1–2
Incheon United form
WWDWDA FC Seoul0–1
H Jeju United FC3–1
A Gangwon FC1–1
H Pohang Steelers3–0
A Gangwon FC0–0
Head to head
3
Gangwon
2
Draw
0
Incheon
Oct 2026Gangwon FC – Incheon United1–1
Sept 2026Gangwon FC – Incheon United0–0
May 2026Incheon United – Gangwon FC0–1
Oct 2024Incheon United – Gangwon FC1–3
Jun 2024Incheon United – Gangwon FC0–1
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Gangwon FC slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.18 for Gangwon FC, 0.88 for Incheon United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gangwon FC sit 5th on 48 points; Incheon United are 6th on 46.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.