Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 31Friday, 9 October 2026 · Chuncheon Songam Stadium
Gangwon FC
5th · 48 pts2–0FULL TIME
Bucheon FC 1995
11th · 32 pts56% Gangwon
26% Draw
18% Bucheon
OUR PICK
Gangwon FC to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.71
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.80X3.7825.59
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.60
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.65
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.65
NG
61%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
Gangwon FCBucheon FC 19951.2Goals per game1.0
0.9Conceded per game1.4
1.45Points per game0.97
33%Win rate21%
10Goal difference-15
6Form, last 5 (pts)1
Gangwon FC form
LWDDLA Ulsan Hyundai FC2–1
H Kuching FA1–0
A FC Seoul1–1
H Incheon United1–1
H Phnom Penh Crown1–2
Bucheon FC 1995 form
LLLLLA FC Anyang2–1
H Gwangju FC0–3
A Ulsan Hyundai FC2–1
A Gangwon FC2–0
H Gimcheon Sangmu FC0–2
Head to head
0
Gangwon
0
Draw
0
Bucheon
These sides haven't met recently.
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Gangwon FC clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.48 for Gangwon FC, 0.71 for Bucheon FC 1995), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gangwon FC sit 5th on 48 points; Bucheon FC 1995 are 11th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.