Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 7Friday, 9 October 2026 · Rams Park Stadyumu
Galatasaray
1st · 25 pts3–1FULL TIME
Kasımpaşa
5th · 17 pts47% Galatasaray
25% Draw
28% Kasımpaşa
OUR PICK
Galatasaray to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.20
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X4.0623.51
Goals 2.5Over1.88Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.79
GG
56%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
GalatasarayKasımpaşa2.3Goals per game1.5
1.2Conceded per game1.1
2.50Points per game1.70
80%Win rate40%
11Goal difference4
12Form, last 5 (pts)8
Galatasaray form
WWWWLA Konyaspor0–4
H Fenerbahçe2–1
A Lille2–4
A Gençlerbirliği S.K.0–1
H Barcelona1–4
Kasımpaşa form
DWWWLH Beşiktaş2–2
H Çorluspor 19473–1
A Eyüpspor0–1
H Samsunspor4–1
A Galatasaray3–1
Head to head
2
Galatasaray
2
Draw
1
Kasımpaşa
Oct 2026Galatasaray – Kasımpaşa3–1
May 2026Kasımpaşa – Galatasaray1–0
Dec 2025Galatasaray – Kasımpaşa3–0
Mar 2025Kasımpaşa – Galatasaray3–3
Sept 2024Galatasaray – Kasımpaşa3–3
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Galatasaray slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.61 for Galatasaray, 1.20 for Kasımpaşa), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Galatasaray sit 1st on 25 points; Kasımpaşa are 5th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.