Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 9Monday, 26 October 2026 · Rams Park Stadyumu
Galatasaray
1st · 25 pts2–1FULL TIME
Fenerbahçe
6th · 16 pts37% Galatasaray
23% Draw
40% Fenerbahçe
OUR PICK
Fenerbahçe to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.74
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.68X4.4222.49
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
GalatasarayFenerbahçe2.3Goals per game2.4
1.2Conceded per game1.0
2.50Points per game1.60
80%Win rate50%
11Goal difference14
12Form, last 5 (pts)9
Galatasaray form
WWWWLA Konyaspor0–4
H Fenerbahçe2–1
A Lille2–4
A Gençlerbirliği S.K.0–1
H Barcelona1–4
Fenerbahçe form
LLDWLH Göztepe1–2
A Galatasaray2–1
H Slavia Praha2–2
H Alanyaspor3–0
A Aston Villa6–0
Head to head
3
Galatasaray
1
Draw
1
Fenerbahçe
Oct 2026Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe2–1
Apr 2026Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe3–0
Jan 2026Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe0–2
Dec 2025Fenerbahçe – Galatasaray1–1
Apr 2025Fenerbahçe – Galatasaray1–2
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Galatasaray 37%, the draw 23%, Fenerbahçe 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.67 for Galatasaray, 1.74 for Fenerbahçe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Galatasaray sit 1st on 25 points; Fenerbahçe are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.