Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 25Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Gamla Ullevi
Gais
10th · 34 pts1–1FULL TIME
IFK Goteborg
9th · 38 pts56% Gais
24% Draw
20% IFK
OUR PICK
Gais to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.89
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.79X4.1225.01
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.92
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.92
NG
52%
Double chance@1.25
1X
80%
Season stats
GaisIFK Goteborg1.2Goals per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game1.7
1.31Points per game1.41
35%Win rate37%
6Goal difference-10
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Gais form
WDLLWA Kalmar FF0–1
H IFK Goteborg1–1
A Orgryte IS4–2
H Sirius0–1
A Mjallby AIF0–3
IFK Goteborg form
LDDDWA BK Hacken1–0
H Djurgardens IF1–1
A Gais1–1
A AIK Stockholm2–2
H Vasteras SK FK1–0
Head to head
0
Gais
3
Draw
2
IFK
Oct 2026Gais – IFK Goteborg1–1
Apr 2026IFK Goteborg – Gais2–2
Aug 2025Gais – IFK Goteborg0–1
Apr 2025IFK Goteborg – Gais1–1
Sept 2024IFK Goteborg – Gais2–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Gais clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.67 for Gais, 0.89 for IFK Goteborg), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gais sit 10th on 34 points; IFK Goteborg are 9th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.