Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
93%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 9Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Gursel Aksel Stadium
Göztepe
9th · 15 pts2–0FULL TIME
Çorum FK
7th · 16 pts40% Göztepe
20% Draw
40% Çorum
OUR PICK
Göztepe to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
2.21 – 2.19
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.47X5.0722.51
Goals 2.5Over1.23Under4.97
Both scoreGG1.26NG4.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.23
Over 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.26
GG
79%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
GöztepeÇorum FK2.1Goals per game2.1
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.50Points per game1.60
40%Win rate50%
4Goal difference5
13Form, last 5 (pts)9
Göztepe form
WWWWDA Fenerbahçe1–2
H Çorum FK2–0
A Kocaelispor1–2
A Eyüpspor0–4
H Rizespor2–2
Çorum FK form
WLWWLA Erzurumspor FK1–3
A Göztepe2–0
H Rizespor2–1
A Gaziantep FK0–3
H Alanyaspor1–2
Head to head
1
Göztepe
1
Draw
1
Çorum
Oct 2026Göztepe – Çorum FK2–0
Jan 2024Çorum FK – Göztepe1–1
Aug 2023Göztepe – Çorum FK1–2
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Göztepe 40%, the draw 20%, Çorum FK 40%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.4 goals in total (2.21 for Göztepe, 2.19 for Çorum FK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Göztepe sit 9th on 15 points; Çorum FK are 7th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.