Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026
Göztepe
9th · 15 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Başakşehir
10th · 14 pts53% Göztepe
20% Draw
27% Başakşehir
OUR PICK
Göztepe to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
2.27 – 1.61
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X4.9723.66
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.39NG3.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.39
GG
72%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
GöztepeBaşakşehir2.1Goals per game1.7
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.50Points per game1.40
40%Win rate40%
4Goal difference1
13Form, last 5 (pts)10
Göztepe form
WWWWDA Fenerbahçe1–2
H Çorum FK2–0
A Kocaelispor1–2
A Eyüpspor0–4
H Rizespor2–2
Başakşehir form
WLWDWH Samsunspor5–2
A Beşiktaş2–0
H Gaziantep FK2–1
A Konyaspor0–0
H Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0
Head to head
2
Göztepe
1
Draw
2
Başakşehir
Mar 2026Başakşehir – Göztepe2–1
Oct 2025Göztepe – Başakşehir1–0
Apr 2025Göztepe – Başakşehir4–1
Nov 2024Başakşehir – Göztepe4–1
Feb 2023Göztepe – Başakşehir0–0
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Göztepe slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.27 for Göztepe, 1.61 for Başakşehir), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Göztepe sit 9th on 15 points; Başakşehir are 10th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.