Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 7Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Craven Cottage
Fulham
15th · 9 pts1–0FULL TIME
Hull City
11th · 11 pts33% Fulham
28% Draw
39% Hull
OUR PICK
Hull City to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.24
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.04X3.5822.55
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
FulhamHull City1.0Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.00Points per game1.22
22%Win rate22%
-2Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Fulham form
DLWWLA Aston Villa1–1
H Crystal Palace0–1
A Coventry0–1
H Hull City1–0
A Ipswich2–1
Hull City form
DDLDLH Ipswich2–2
H Brentford1–1
A Fulham1–0
H Everton2–2
A Newcastle2–1
Head to head
5
Fulham
0
Draw
0
Hull
Oct 2026Fulham – Hull City1–0
Jan 2023Hull City – Fulham0–2
Feb 2022Hull City – Fulham0–1
Aug 2021Fulham – Hull City2–0
Jan 2020Hull City – Fulham0–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Everton9013
8Bournemouth9+112
9Tottenham9012
10Aston Villa9-312
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Fulham 33%, the draw 28%, Hull City 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.11 for Fulham, 1.24 for Hull City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fulham sit 15th on 9 points; Hull City are 11th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.