Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Fujieda soccer stadium
Fujieda MYFC
15th · 16 pts0–0FULL TIME
Montedio Yamagata
16th · 16 pts44% Fujieda
29% Draw
27% Montedio
OUR PICK
Fujieda MYFC to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.22 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.27X3.4023.75
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.54
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.36
1X
73%
Season stats
Fujieda MYFCMontedio Yamagata1.1Goals per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game1.0
1.14Points per game1.14
21%Win rate36%
1Goal difference-1
3Form, last 5 (pts)4
Fujieda MYFC form
DLDDLA Blaublitz Akita1–1
H Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Tochigi City2–2
H Montedio Yamagata0–0
A Sagan Tosu1–0
Montedio Yamagata form
WLLDLA Vanraure Hachinohe1–2
H Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
H Consadole Sapporo0–2
A Fujieda MYFC0–0
H Vegalta Sendai0–1
Head to head
2
Fujieda
1
Draw
2
Montedio
Oct 2026Fujieda MYFC – Montedio Yamagata0–0
Aug 2026Montedio Yamagata – Fujieda MYFC3–5
Nov 2025Montedio Yamagata – Fujieda MYFC2–1
May 2025Fujieda MYFC – Montedio Yamagata2–1
Aug 2024Fujieda MYFC – Montedio Yamagata0–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Fujieda MYFC slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.22 for Fujieda MYFC, 0.88 for Montedio Yamagata), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fujieda MYFC sit 15th on 16 points; Montedio Yamagata are 16th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.