Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 25Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Fredrikstad Stadion
Fredrikstad
11th · 29 pts0–3FULL TIME
Rosenborg
4th · 43 pts22% Fredrikstad
23% Draw
55% Rosenborg
OUR PICK
Rosenborg to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.83
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.45X4.3721.83
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.79
GG
56%
Double chance@1.29
X2
78%
Season stats
FredrikstadRosenborg1.2Goals per game2.0
1.8Conceded per game1.2
1.16Points per game1.72
32%Win rate52%
-15Goal difference18
2Form, last 5 (pts)13
Fredrikstad form
No recent matches.
Rosenborg form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Fredrikstad
0
Draw
0
Rosenborg
These sides haven't met recently.
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde24+2143
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Tromso24+940
6Lillestrom24+239
7Sarpsborg 08 FF24-531
8KFUM Oslo24-930
9Brann24+229
10Valerenga24-729
Match preview
Our model makes Rosenborg clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.09 for Fredrikstad, 1.83 for Rosenborg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fredrikstad sit 11th on 29 points; Rosenborg are 4th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.