Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 26Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Fredrikstad Stadion
Fredrikstad
11th · 29 pts19:15KICK-OFF WAT
Brann
7th · 32 pts32% Fredrikstad
24% Draw
44% Brann
OUR PICK
Brann to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.70
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.13X4.2422.25
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
FredrikstadBrann1.2Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.7
1.16Points per game1.28
32%Win rate40%
-15Goal difference3
2Form, last 5 (pts)6
Fredrikstad form
LWLLDH Rosenborg0–3
A Ranheim2–5
A Molde5–1
A Viking3–2
H Tromso1–1
Brann form
WWLWLH Molde3–2
A Grorud0–2
A Lillestrom3–2
A Kauno Žalgiris1–4
A Valerenga3–1
Head to head
2
Fredrikstad
0
Draw
3
Brann
May 2026Brann – Fredrikstad3–1
Sept 2025Brann – Fredrikstad1–0
Mar 2025Fredrikstad – Brann3–0
Aug 2024Fredrikstad – Brann0–4
Apr 2024Brann – Fredrikstad0–2
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Brann slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.41 for Fredrikstad, 1.70 for Brann), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fredrikstad sit 11th on 29 points; Brann are 7th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.