BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 8Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Stade Robert Urbain

Francs Borains

8th · 12 pts

20:00KICK-OFF WAT

Dender

2nd · 19 pts

22% Francs

29% Draw

49% Dender

OUR PICK

Dender to win

Model probability 49% · fair odds

2.06

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.28

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X214.46X3.4422.06

Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.51

Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.65

Over 1.5

61%

Over/Under 2.5@1.51

Under 2.5

66%

Both teams to score@1.63

61%

Double chance@1.29

78%

Season stats

Francs BorainsDender

1.3Goals per game1.5

1.4Conceded per game0.4

1.71Points per game2.38

57%Win rate75%

-1Goal difference9

9Form, last 5 (pts)13

Francs Borains form

LLLWW

A Beerschot VA3–0

A OH Leuven1–0

A K. Lierse S.K.3–0

A Diegem Sport0–1

H RSC Anderlecht II3–2

Dender form

DLWWW

H KRC Genk II1–1

A Standard Liege2–0

H Club Brugge II3–0

A Hoogstraten0–6

H Patro Eisden1–0

Head to head

Francs

Draw

Dender

Apr 2024Francs Borains – Dender0–3

Dec 2023Dender – Francs Borains2–0

Feb 2022Dender – Francs Borains3–1

Dec 2021Francs Borains – Dender1–1

Challenger Pro League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Beerschot VA9+1624

2Dender8+919

3AS Eupen8+615

4Sporting Hasselt8-115

5Excelsior Virton8+413

6Lokeren-Temse8+213

7Patro Eisden9-112

8Francs Borains7-112

9KAA Gent II8-211

10Club Brugge II8-39

Match preview

Our model makes Dender slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.77 for Francs Borains, 1.28 for Dender), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Francs Borains sit 8th on 12 points; Dender are 2nd on 19.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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