Over 1.5 goals@1.49
Over 1.5
67%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Südstadion
Fortuna Köln
19th · 10 pts1–2FULL TIME
Würzburger Kickers
15th · 14 pts42% Fortuna
28% Draw
30% Würzburger
OUR PICK
Fortuna Köln to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.39
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.03
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.39X3.5623.33
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.68
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.86
NG
54%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
Fortuna KölnWürzburger Kickers0.8Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game2.0
0.83Points per game1.17
17%Win rate33%
-5Goal difference-7
1Form, last 5 (pts)7
Fortuna Köln form
LLLLDH Würzburger Kickers1–2
A Preußen Münster1–0
H Stuttgart II0–1
A Rot-Weiß Essen2–0
H FC Saarbrücken0–0
Würzburger Kickers form
WLWDLA Fortuna Köln1–2
A SV Meppen4–0
H Waldhof Mannheim2–0
A Havelse2–2
H Hansa Rostock0–2
Head to head
1
Fortuna
1
Draw
3
Würzburger
Oct 2026Fortuna Köln – Würzburger Kickers1–2
Apr 2019FC Wurzburger Kickers – Fortuna Koln2–0
Nov 2018Fortuna Koln – FC Wurzburger Kickers0–0
Apr 2018FC Wurzburger Kickers – Fortuna Koln1–0
Oct 2017Fortuna Koln – FC Wurzburger Kickers2–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4SV Wehen12+618
5FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
6FC Saarbrücken11+617
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim11+316
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Fortuna Köln slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.27 for Fortuna Köln, 1.03 for Würzburger Kickers), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fortuna Köln sit 19th on 10 points; Würzburger Kickers are 15th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.