Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
74%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 10Friday, 16 October 2026 · Südstadion
Fortuna Köln
19th · 10 pts0–1FULL TIME
Stuttgart II
13th · 15 pts40% Fortuna
26% Draw
34% Stuttgart
OUR PICK
Fortuna Köln to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.26
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.48X3.8522.96
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.85
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Fortuna KölnStuttgart II0.8Goals per game1.8
1.2Conceded per game1.9
0.83Points per game1.25
17%Win rate33%
-5Goal difference-2
1Form, last 5 (pts)8
Fortuna Köln form
LLLLDH Würzburger Kickers1–2
A Preußen Münster1–0
H Stuttgart II0–1
A Rot-Weiß Essen2–0
H FC Saarbrücken0–0
Stuttgart II form
DLWWDA MSV Duisburg3–3
H Alemannia Aachen1–2
A Fortuna Köln0–1
H Hoffenheim II3–2
A SV Meppen1–1
Head to head
0
Fortuna
0
Draw
5
Stuttgart
Oct 2026Fortuna Köln – Stuttgart II0–1
Mar 2016Fortuna Koln – Stuttgart II1–3
Sept 2015Stuttgart II – Fortuna Koln3–0
Apr 2015Fortuna Koln – Stuttgart II0–1
Sept 2014Stuttgart II – Fortuna Koln3–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Fortuna Köln 40%, the draw 26%, Stuttgart II 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.40 for Fortuna Köln, 1.26 for Stuttgart II), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fortuna Köln sit 19th on 10 points; Stuttgart II are 13th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.