Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
80%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Südstadion
Fortuna Köln
19th · 10 pts0–0FULL TIME
FC Saarbrücken
4th · 20 pts29% Fortuna
24% Draw
47% FC
OUR PICK
FC Saarbrücken to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.11
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.72
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.44X4.2322.11
Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Fortuna KölnFC Saarbrücken0.8Goals per game2.3
1.2Conceded per game1.8
0.83Points per game1.67
17%Win rate50%
-5Goal difference7
1Form, last 5 (pts)7
Fortuna Köln form
LLLLDH Würzburger Kickers1–2
A Preußen Münster1–0
H Stuttgart II0–1
A Rot-Weiß Essen2–0
H FC Saarbrücken0–0
FC Saarbrücken form
WLWLDH Waldhof Mannheim2–1
A Havelse3–2
A Fortuna Düsseldorf1–3
H MSV Duisburg2–4
A Fortuna Köln0–0
Head to head
0
Fortuna
1
Draw
1
FC
Oct 2026Fortuna Köln – FC Saarbrücken0–0
Jan 2023FC Saarbrücken – Fortuna Koln2–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Saarbrücken slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.30 for Fortuna Köln, 1.72 for FC Saarbrücken), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fortuna Köln sit 19th on 10 points; FC Saarbrücken are 4th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.