Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 12Friday, 30 October 2026 · Merkur Spielarena
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10th · 16 pts0–0FULL TIME
SV Meppen
12th · 15 pts41% Fortuna
27% Draw
31% SV
OUR PICK
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.41
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.12
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.41X3.6823.19
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Fortuna DüsseldorfSV Meppen1.0Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.33Points per game1.25
33%Win rate33%
-2Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Fortuna Düsseldorf form
DDLWDH SV Meppen0–0
A Hansa Rostock1–1
H FC Saarbrücken1–3
A Preußen Münster1–2
H Verl2–2
SV Meppen form
DWDWDA Fortuna Düsseldorf0–0
H Würzburger Kickers4–0
H Havelse1–1
A Hansa Rostock0–2
H Stuttgart II1–1
Head to head
1
Fortuna
1
Draw
0
SV
Oct 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf – SV Meppen0–0
Jan 2023Fortuna Dusseldorf – SV Meppen4–3
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.33 for Fortuna Düsseldorf, 1.12 for SV Meppen), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 10th on 16 points; SV Meppen are 12th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.