Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 14Friday, 9 October 2026 · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Fortaleza FC
15th · 22 pts1–1FULL TIME
Millonarios
10th · 26 pts31% Fortaleza
25% Draw
44% Millonarios
OUR PICK
Millonarios to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.59
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.22X4.0722.25
Goals 2.5Over1.82Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Fortaleza FCMillonarios1.2Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.16Points per game1.37
26%Win rate37%
-5Goal difference8
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Fortaleza FC form
LDLDDA America de Cali2–1
H Deportivo Cali1–1
A Internacional de Bogota2–1
A Santa Fe2–2
H Millonarios1–1
Millonarios form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Fortaleza
0
Draw
0
Millonarios
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Millonarios slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.29 for Fortaleza FC, 1.59 for Millonarios), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fortaleza FC sit 15th on 22 points; Millonarios are 10th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.