SoccerVistaPredict
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 18Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Fortaleza FC

15th · 22 pts
02:00KICK-OFF WAT

Independiente Medellin

11th · 26 pts
37% Fortaleza
26% Draw
37% Independiente
OUR PICK
Independiente Medellin to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.69
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.33
Confidence
Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.72X3.8322.69
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%

Season stats

Fortaleza FCIndependiente Medellin
1.2Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.16Points per game1.37
26%Win rate37%
-5Goal difference2
2Form, last 5 (pts)6

Fortaleza FC form

LLDLD
A Águilas Doradas1–0
A America de Cali2–1
H Deportivo Cali1–1
A Internacional de Bogota2–1
A Santa Fe2–2

Independiente Medellin form

WLLLL
H Alianza Valledupar2–1
A Internacional de Bogota3–1
A Atletico Nacional2–1
H Once Caldas0–2
A Atletico Nacional3–2

Head to head

0
Fortaleza
1
Draw
4
Independiente
May 2026Independiente Medellin – Fortaleza FC1–0
Apr 2026Independiente Medellin – Fortaleza FC1–0
Oct 2025Independiente Medellin – Fortaleza FC3–1
Sept 2025Independiente Medellin – Fortaleza FC2–1
Aug 2025Fortaleza FC – Independiente Medellin0–0

Primera A table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Fortaleza FC 37%, the draw 26%, Independiente Medellin 37%.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.69 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.32 for Fortaleza FC, 1.33 for Independiente Medellin), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Fortaleza FC sit 15th on 22 points; Independiente Medellin are 11th on 26.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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