Over 1.5 goals@1.65
Over 1.5
61%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 16Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Fortaleza FC
15th · 22 pts1–1FULL TIME
Deportivo Cali
9th · 27 pts31% Fortaleza
30% Draw
38% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Deportivo Cali to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.62
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.18X3.3022.62
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.51
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
Fortaleza FCDeportivo Cali1.2Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game0.8
1.16Points per game1.42
26%Win rate37%
-5Goal difference4
2Form, last 5 (pts)9
Fortaleza FC form
LLDLDA Águilas Doradas1–0
A America de Cali2–1
H Deportivo Cali1–1
A Internacional de Bogota2–1
A Santa Fe2–2
Deportivo Cali form
WDWDDH Chico2–0
A Fortaleza FC1–1
A Llaneros0–3
H Junior0–0
A Deportivo Pereira0–0
Head to head
1
Fortaleza
3
Draw
1
Deportivo
Oct 2026Fortaleza FC – Deportivo Cali1–1
Mar 2026Deportivo Cali – Fortaleza FC1–1
Jul 2025Deportivo Cali – Fortaleza FC1–1
Feb 2025Fortaleza FC – Deportivo Cali1–0
Sept 2024Deportivo Cali – Fortaleza FC3–2
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Fortaleza FC 31%, the draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.96 for Fortaleza FC, 1.09 for Deportivo Cali), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fortaleza FC sit 15th on 22 points; Deportivo Cali are 9th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.