Over 1.5 goals@1.71
Over 1.5
59%
BRASerie B · Matchday 36Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Castelão
Fortaleza EC
5th · 61 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Atletico Goianiense
8th · 54 pts42% Fortaleza
31% Draw
27% Atletico
OUR PICK
Fortaleza EC to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.37
Expected goals
1.13 – 0.84
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.37X3.2623.70
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.46
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
62%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%
Season stats
Fortaleza ECAtletico Goianiense1.2Goals per game1.2
0.9Conceded per game0.9
1.74Points per game1.54
46%Win rate40%
12Goal difference9
9Form, last 5 (pts)5
Fortaleza EC form
No recent matches.
Atletico Goianiense form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Fortaleza
0
Draw
0
Atletico
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model makes Fortaleza EC slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.13 for Fortaleza EC, 0.84 for Atletico Goianiense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fortaleza EC sit 5th on 61 points; Atletico Goianiense are 8th on 54.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.