Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
NOR2. Division - Group 2 · Matchday 25Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Langhus kunstgress
Follo
12th · 20 pts2–0FULL TIME
Skeid
11th · 26 pts40% Follo
22% Draw
38% Skeid
OUR PICK
Follo to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.72
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.52X4.4722.63
Goals 2.5Over1.48Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.47NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.47
GG
68%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
FolloSkeid1.3Goals per game1.5
2.1Conceded per game2.1
0.77Points per game1.00
19%Win rate31%
-20Goal difference-15
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Follo form
LWWLLA Lørenskog3–2
H Skeid2–0
A Grorud1–3
A Ull/Kisa4–2
H Stjørdals-Blink0–1
Skeid form
WLWLWH Stjørdals-Blink3–1
A Follo2–0
H Ull/Kisa4–0
A Eidsvold2–1
H Hønefoss4–3
Head to head
1
Follo
0
Draw
4
Skeid
Oct 2026Follo – Skeid2–0
May 2026Skeid – Follo2–0
Feb 2026Skeid – Follo2–1
Oct 2024Skeid – Follo6–0
Apr 2024Follo – Skeid0–1
2. Division - Group 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Eidsvold26+3660
2Kjelsås26+2859
3Levanger26+3255
4Grorud26+2149
5Hønefoss26+2049
6Lørenskog26040
7Stjørdals-Blink26+139
8Tromsdalen Uil26+438
9Junkeren26-834
10Rana26-833
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Follo 40%, the draw 22%, Skeid 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.76 for Follo, 1.72 for Skeid), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Follo sit 12th on 20 points; Skeid are 11th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.