Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood Town
16th · 17 pts3–1FULL TIME
Bristol Rovers
17th · 16 pts52% Fleetwood
24% Draw
24% Bristol
OUR PICK
Fleetwood Town to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.07
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.92X4.1624.19
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Season stats
Fleetwood TownBristol Rovers1.3Goals per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.6
1.21Points per game1.14
29%Win rate36%
0Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)1
Fleetwood Town form
No recent matches.
Bristol Rovers form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Fleetwood
0
Draw
0
Bristol
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Fleetwood Town slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.70 for Fleetwood Town, 1.07 for Bristol Rovers), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fleetwood Town sit 16th on 17 points; Bristol Rovers are 17th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.