Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 11Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Stadion Partizana
FK Partizan
9th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Novi Pazar
10th · 16 pts47% FK
24% Draw
29% Novi
OUR PICK
FK Partizan to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.11
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.27
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.11X4.1923.49
Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
FK PartizanNovi Pazar1.7Goals per game0.9
1.7Conceded per game1.1
1.21Points per game1.14
36%Win rate29%
0Goal difference-3
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
FK Partizan form
WWLLWH Zemun3–0
A Radnicki NIS2–3
H Cukaricki0–2
A Železničar Pančevo1–0
H Novi Pazar1–0
Novi Pazar form
LWWLLA Radnicki 19232–0
A FK Vozdovac1–3
A Radnicki NIS0–2
H IMT Novi Beograd1–2
A FK Partizan1–0
Head to head
4
FK
0
Draw
1
Novi
Oct 2026FK Partizan – Novi Pazar1–0
May 2026FK Partizan – Novi Pazar2–1
Apr 2026Novi Pazar – FK Partizan2–3
Nov 2025FK Partizan – Novi Pazar2–0
May 2025Novi Pazar – FK Partizan2–1
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes FK Partizan slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.70 for FK Partizan, 1.27 for Novi Pazar), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FK Partizan sit 9th on 17 points; Novi Pazar are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.