Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 15Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stadion Partizana
FK Partizan
9th · 17 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Macva
12th · 10 pts67% FK
18% Draw
15% Macva
OUR PICK
FK Partizan to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.49
Expected goals
2.35 – 1.01
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.49X5.5126.79
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
58%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
FK PartizanMacva1.7Goals per game0.8
1.7Conceded per game1.8
1.21Points per game0.71
36%Win rate14%
0Goal difference-14
9Form, last 5 (pts)2
FK Partizan form
WWLLWH Zemun3–0
A Radnicki NIS2–3
H Cukaricki0–2
A Železničar Pančevo1–0
H Novi Pazar1–0
Macva form
LWLDDH FK Crvena Zvezda2–4
H Napredak2–0
A Zemun1–0
H OFK Beograd1–1
A Cukaricki2–2
Head to head
4
FK
0
Draw
1
Macva
Jul 2026Macva – FK Partizan1–3
Oct 2025Macva – FK Partizan2–0
Apr 2021Macva – FK Partizan1–2
Oct 2020FK Partizan – Macva2–0
Dec 2019Macva – FK Partizan0–2
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes FK Partizan clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.35 for FK Partizan, 1.01 for Macva), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FK Partizan sit 9th on 17 points; Macva are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.