Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 11Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Stadion Střelnice
FK Jablonec
7th · 20 pts2–3FULL TIME
Plzen
9th · 19 pts37% FK
24% Draw
40% Plzen
OUR PICK
Plzen to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.59
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.73X4.2022.52
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.61NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.61
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
FK JablonecPlzen1.2Goals per game2.2
1.4Conceded per game1.6
1.54Points per game1.46
46%Win rate38%
-2Goal difference7
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
FK Jablonec form
LWDLLH Slavia Praha0–5
A Hradec Králové1–2
H Brighton0–0
H Plzen2–3
A SC Freiburg3–2
Plzen form
WWLLWA Baník Ostrava0–4
A Vysočina Jihlava1–6
H Pardubice1–2
H Levski Sofia1–2
A FK Jablonec2–3
Head to head
0
FK
2
Draw
3
Plzen
Oct 2026FK Jablonec – Plzen2–3
May 2026Plzen – FK Jablonec5–0
Nov 2025FK Jablonec – Plzen3–3
Jul 2025Plzen – FK Jablonec1–1
May 2025Plzen – FK Jablonec4–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FK Jablonec 37%, the draw 24%, Plzen 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.52 for FK Jablonec, 1.59 for Plzen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FK Jablonec sit 7th on 20 points; Plzen are 9th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.