Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 14Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Stadion Strelnice
FK Jablonec
7th · 20 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Mlada Boleslav
2nd · 24 pts32% FK
26% Draw
42% Mlada
OUR PICK
Mlada Boleslav to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.45
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.10X3.8922.38
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
FK JablonecMlada Boleslav1.2Goals per game1.7
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.54Points per game1.85
46%Win rate54%
-2Goal difference7
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
FK Jablonec form
LWDLLH Slavia Praha0–5
A Hradec Králové1–2
H Brighton0–0
H Plzen2–3
A SC Freiburg3–2
Mlada Boleslav form
WWDWLH Hradec Králové3–1
H Bohemians 19053–2
A Slavia Praha1–1
H Teplice1–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Head to head
4
FK
0
Draw
1
Mlada
Jun 2026FK Jablonec – Mlada Boleslav5–0
Apr 2026FK Jablonec – Mlada Boleslav1–0
Feb 2026Mlada Boleslav – FK Jablonec3–0
Sept 2025FK Jablonec – Mlada Boleslav2–0
Apr 2025Mlada Boleslav – FK Jablonec0–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Slovan Liberec12+723
5Sparta Praha12+1222
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190511016
Match preview
Our model makes Mlada Boleslav slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.24 for FK Jablonec, 1.45 for Mlada Boleslav), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FK Jablonec sit 7th on 20 points; Mlada Boleslav are 2nd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.