Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Stadion Strelnice
FK Jablonec
24th · 1 pts0–0FULL TIME
Brighton
9th · 4 pts25% FK
21% Draw
54% Brighton
OUR PICK
Brighton to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
1.42 – 2.14
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.96X4.8121.85
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
FK JablonecBrighton1.0Goals per game2.0
1.5Conceded per game0.0
0.50Points per game2.00
0%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference4
1Form, last 5 (pts)4
FK Jablonec form
LWDLLH Slavia Praha0–5
A Hradec Králové1–2
H Brighton0–0
H Plzen2–3
A SC Freiburg3–2
Brighton form
WDLDWA Manchester City0–1
A Manchester City2–2
A Liverpool2–0
A FK Jablonec0–0
H Crystal Palace5–0
Head to head
0
FK
1
Draw
0
Brighton
Oct 2026FK Jablonec – Brighton0–0
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Brighton slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.42 for FK Jablonec, 2.14 for Brighton), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FK Jablonec sit 24th on 1 points; Brighton are 9th on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.