Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Stadion Rajko Mit
FK Crvena Zvezda
22nd · 1 pts2–2FULL TIME
FC Copenhagen
10th · 4 pts29% FK
22% Draw
49% FC
OUR PICK
FC Copenhagen to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.92
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.50X4.5122.03
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
65%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Copenhagen2.0Goals per game2.5
2.5Conceded per game1.0
0.50Points per game2.00
0%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference3
1Form, last 5 (pts)4
FK Crvena Zvezda form
WWWDWA Macva2–4
A Jedinstvo Ub1–5
A OFK Beograd0–1
H FC Copenhagen2–2
H Mladost Lucani5–1
FC Copenhagen form
WDDDWA Aarhus Fremad0–3
H Odense1–1
A FK Crvena Zvezda2–2
H Aarhus1–1
H SC Braga3–0
Head to head
0
FK
3
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026FK Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen2–2
Aug 2019FC Copenhagen – FK Crvena Zvezda2–2
Aug 2019FK Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen1–1
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes FC Copenhagen slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.42 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1.92 for FC Copenhagen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FK Crvena Zvezda sit 22nd on 1 points; FC Copenhagen are 10th on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.