Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 8Friday, 9 October 2026 · Stadion Hohe Warte
First Vienna
2nd · 25 pts3–1FULL TIME
SKN ST. Polten
11th · 14 pts45% First
29% Draw
26% SKN
OUR PICK
First Vienna to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.90
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.22X3.4823.80
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.74
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.74
NG
57%
Double chance@1.36
1X
74%
Season stats
First ViennaSKN ST. Polten1.9Goals per game0.9
1.4Conceded per game1.0
2.27Points per game1.27
73%Win rate36%
6Goal difference-1
12Form, last 5 (pts)8
First Vienna form
LLWWWH FC BW Linz0–6
H Rapid Vienna0–3
H Floridsdorfer AC2–0
A Voitsberg1–2
H SKN ST. Polten3–1
SKN ST. Polten form
WDDLWH WSPG Wels2–1
A SV Kapfenberg1–1
H Rapid Wien II0–0
A First Vienna3–1
H Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–1
Head to head
3
First
1
Draw
1
SKN
Oct 2026First Vienna – SKN ST. Polten3–1
Feb 2026First Vienna – SKN ST. Polten2–1
Aug 2025SKN ST. Polten – First Vienna2–1
Mar 2025SKN ST. Polten – First Vienna3–3
Aug 2024First Vienna – SKN ST. Polten2–1
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes First Vienna slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.27 for First Vienna, 0.90 for SKN ST. Polten), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
First Vienna sit 2nd on 25 points; SKN ST. Polten are 11th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.