Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
ITASerie A · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
17th · 5 pts20:45KICK-OFF WAT
Juventus
7th · 17 pts26% Fiorentina
25% Draw
50% Juventus
OUR PICK
Juventus to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.64
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.92X4.0722.00
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
FiorentinaJuventus1.2Goals per game1.3
2.3Conceded per game1.0
0.56Points per game1.70
11%Win rate50%
-10Goal difference3
2Form, last 5 (pts)7
Fiorentina form
DLLLDH Atalanta2–2
A Inter2–1
H Como1–3
A Genoa2–1
H Napoli1–1
Juventus form
WLWDLH Napoli2–0
A Genoa2–0
A Lecce0–2
H Rennes2–2
H Lazio0–3
Head to head
2
Fiorentina
2
Draw
1
Juventus
May 2026Juventus – Fiorentina0–2
Nov 2025Fiorentina – Juventus1–1
Mar 2025Fiorentina – Juventus3–0
Dec 2024Juventus – Fiorentina2–2
Apr 2024Juventus – Fiorentina1–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes Juventus slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.10 for Fiorentina, 1.64 for Juventus), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fiorentina sit 17th on 5 points; Juventus are 7th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.