Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 11Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadion Feijenoord
Feyenoord
1st · 25 pts1–1FULL TIME
Fortuna Sittard
6th · 19 pts73% Feyenoord
15% Draw
12% Fortuna
OUR PICK
Feyenoord to win
Model probability 73% · fair odds
1.38
Expected goals
2.74 – 1.05
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.38X6.5228.32
Goals 2.5Over1.37Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
FeyenoordFortuna Sittard3.0Goals per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.6
2.27Points per game1.73
64%Win rate45%
21Goal difference0
11Form, last 5 (pts)9
Feyenoord form
No recent matches.
Fortuna Sittard form
DDWDDA Feyenoord1–1
A Sparta Rotterdam2–2
H Excelsior1–0
A NEC Nijmegen2–2
H Twente1–1
Head to head
0
Feyenoord
0
Draw
0
Fortuna
These sides haven't met recently.
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente10+920
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen10+315
9GO Ahead Eagles10014
10Cambuur10-312
Match preview
Our model makes Feyenoord clear favourites, giving them a 73% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.74 for Feyenoord, 1.05 for Fortuna Sittard), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Feyenoord sit 1st on 25 points; Fortuna Sittard are 6th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.