Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
65%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 34Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste
2nd · 66 pts1–0FULL TIME
Racing Cordoba
14th · 40 pts55% Ferro
26% Draw
19% Racing
OUR PICK
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.75
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X3.7825.27
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.23
1X
81%
Season stats
Ferro Carril OesteRacing Cordoba1.1Goals per game0.9
0.9Conceded per game1.3
1.83Points per game1.11
53%Win rate28%
7Goal difference-13
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
Ferro Carril Oeste form
DLWDLA Acassuso0–0
H Chaco For Ever0–3
H Racing Cordoba1–0
A Central Norte1–1
H Deportivo Madryn0–2
Racing Cordoba form
LLLWDA Chaco For Ever3–1
H All Boys1–2
A Ferro Carril Oeste1–0
H Los Andes1–0
A Central Norte1–1
Head to head
2
Ferro
2
Draw
1
Racing
Oct 2026Ferro Carril Oeste – Racing Cordoba1–0
May 2026Racing Cordoba – Ferro Carril Oeste0–0
Sept 2025Ferro Carril Oeste – Racing Cordoba2–2
Apr 2025Racing Cordoba – Ferro Carril Oeste4–0
Sept 2024Ferro Carril Oeste – Racing Cordoba2–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Ferro Carril Oeste clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.48 for Ferro Carril Oeste, 0.75 for Racing Cordoba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ferro Carril Oeste sit 2nd on 66 points; Racing Cordoba are 14th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.