Over 1.5 goals@1.64
Over 1.5
61%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste
2nd · 66 pts0–3FULL TIME
Chaco For Ever
9th · 46 pts49% Ferro
29% Draw
22% Chaco
OUR PICK
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.29 – 0.77
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.05X3.4624.49
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.51
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.29
1X
78%
Season stats
Ferro Carril OesteChaco For Ever1.1Goals per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game1.0
1.83Points per game1.28
53%Win rate33%
7Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
Ferro Carril Oeste form
DLWDLA Acassuso0–0
H Chaco For Ever0–3
H Racing Cordoba1–0
A Central Norte1–1
H Deportivo Madryn0–2
Chaco For Ever form
WWLWDH Racing Cordoba3–1
A Ferro Carril Oeste0–3
H Central Norte1–2
A Deportivo Madryn1–2
H Defensores De Belgrano2–2
Head to head
2
Ferro
1
Draw
2
Chaco
Oct 2026Ferro Carril Oeste – Chaco For Ever0–3
Jun 2026Chaco For Ever – Ferro Carril Oeste1–2
Aug 2023Chaco For Ever – Ferro Carril Oeste4–2
Apr 2023Ferro Carril Oeste – Chaco For Ever2–1
Jun 2022Ferro Carril Oeste – Chaco For Ever0–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Ferro Carril Oeste slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.29 for Ferro Carril Oeste, 0.77 for Chaco For Ever), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ferro Carril Oeste sit 2nd on 66 points; Chaco For Ever are 9th on 46.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.