Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
HUNNB I · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Groupama Aréna
Ferencvarosi TC
3rd · 20 pts2–0FULL TIME
Paks
5th · 17 pts57% Ferencvarosi
21% Draw
22% Paks
OUR PICK
Ferencvarosi TC to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.27
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.75X4.8524.51
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Ferencvarosi TCPaks1.8Goals per game1.8
0.9Conceded per game1.8
1.82Points per game1.42
45%Win rate42%
10Goal difference1
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Ferencvarosi TC form
No recent matches.
Paks form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Ferencvarosi
0
Draw
0
Paks
These sides haven't met recently.
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Paks12+117
6Vasas12+316
7Ujpest11+215
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model makes Ferencvarosi TC clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.14 for Ferencvarosi TC, 1.27 for Paks), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ferencvarosi TC sit 3rd on 20 points; Paks are 5th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.