Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
HUNNB I · Matchday 9Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Groupama Arena
Ferencvarosi TC
3rd · 20 pts1–1FULL TIME
Debreceni VSC
4th · 19 pts57% Ferencvarosi
22% Draw
21% Debreceni
OUR PICK
Ferencvarosi TC to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.11
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.75X4.5924.73
Goals 2.5Over1.69Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
58%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
Ferencvarosi TCDebreceni VSC1.8Goals per game1.8
0.9Conceded per game1.4
1.82Points per game1.58
45%Win rate42%
10Goal difference4
9Form, last 5 (pts)10
Ferencvarosi TC form
WWWWDH Paks2–0
A Bicskei1–4
H MTK Budapest5–0
H Torreense4–1
A Kisvarda FC1–1
Debreceni VSC form
WWWWDA Puskas Academy1–3
A Csepel2–3
A Budapest Honved0–2
H Zalaegerszegi TE3–0
A Ferencvarosi TC1–1
Head to head
3
Ferencvarosi
1
Draw
1
Debreceni
Oct 2026Ferencvarosi TC – Debreceni VSC1–1
Apr 2026Debreceni VSC – Ferencvarosi TC0–2
Dec 2025Ferencvarosi TC – Debreceni VSC0–1
Aug 2025Debreceni VSC – Ferencvarosi TC0–3
Mar 2025Debreceni VSC – Ferencvarosi TC0–1
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Ujpest12+318
6Paks12+117
7Vasas12+316
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model makes Ferencvarosi TC clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.96 for Ferencvarosi TC, 1.11 for Debreceni VSC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ferencvarosi TC sit 3rd on 20 points; Debreceni VSC are 4th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.