Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Chobani Stadium
Fenerbahçe
5th · 16 pts1–2FULL TIME
Göztepe
9th · 15 pts71% Fenerbahçe
15% Draw
14% Göztepe
OUR PICK
Fenerbahçe to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.42
Expected goals
2.87 – 1.25
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.42X6.4727.12
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
FenerbahçeGöztepe2.4Goals per game2.1
1.0Conceded per game1.7
1.60Points per game1.50
50%Win rate40%
14Goal difference4
9Form, last 5 (pts)13
Fenerbahçe form
LLDWLH Göztepe1–2
A Galatasaray2–1
H Slavia Praha2–2
H Alanyaspor3–0
A Aston Villa6–0
Göztepe form
WWWWDA Fenerbahçe1–2
H Çorum FK2–0
A Kocaelispor1–2
A Eyüpspor0–4
H Rizespor2–2
Head to head
1
Fenerbahçe
3
Draw
1
Göztepe
Oct 2026Fenerbahçe – Göztepe1–2
Jan 2026Fenerbahçe – Göztepe1–1
Aug 2025Göztepe – Fenerbahçe0–0
Jan 2025Fenerbahçe – Göztepe3–2
Aug 2024Göztepe – Fenerbahçe2–2
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed9+1020
3Trabzonspor9+1419
4Beşiktaş9+818
5Fenerbahçe10+1416
6Çorum FK10+516
7Kasımpaşa9+416
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Erzurumspor FK10-614
Match preview
Our model makes Fenerbahçe clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.87 for Fenerbahçe, 1.25 for Göztepe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fenerbahçe sit 5th on 16 points; Göztepe are 9th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.