Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 10Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos
Felgueiras 1932
17th · 7 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Leixoes
13th · 10 pts45% Felgueiras
26% Draw
29% Leixoes
OUR PICK
Felgueiras 1932 to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.24X3.7723.46
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Felgueiras 1932Leixoes1.0Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.6
0.78Points per game1.11
11%Win rate33%
-3Goal difference-4
1Form, last 5 (pts)4
Felgueiras 1932 form
LDWLWA Tondela3–2
H Lusitânia Lourosa2–2
H Fafe1–0
A Benfica B1–0
A Naval 18930–2
Leixoes form
LLLLWH Sporting CP B1–2
A Academica4–0
A Vianense1–0
H FC Porto B1–2
A Cinfães0–4
Head to head
1
Felgueiras
1
Draw
2
Leixoes
Jan 2026Felgueiras 1932 – Leixoes0–1
Aug 2025Leixoes – Felgueiras 19323–0
Apr 2025Felgueiras 1932 – Leixoes4–0
Dec 2024Leixoes – Felgueiras 19322–2
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa9+719
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Farense9+415
6Academica9+315
7Tondela9+215
8Vizela9+114
9União de Leiria9+214
10AVS9+112
Match preview
Our model makes Felgueiras 1932 slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.42 for Felgueiras 1932, 1.09 for Leixoes), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Felgueiras 1932 sit 17th on 7 points; Leixoes are 13th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.