Over 1.5 goals@1.76
Over 1.5
57%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Feirense
18th · 2 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Lusitânia Lourosa
2nd · 19 pts14% Feirense
28% Draw
59% Lusitânia
OUR PICK
Lusitânia Lourosa to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
0.52 – 1.39
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.22X3.6221.71
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.43
Both scoreGG3.14NG1.44
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.44
NG
70%
Double chance@1.16
X2
86%
Season stats
FeirenseLusitânia Lourosa0.3Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game0.9
0.25Points per game2.11
0%Win rate56%
-8Goal difference7
1Form, last 5 (pts)9
Feirense form
DLLLLH Benfica B0–0
A Farense2–1
A Salgueiros1–0
A Chaves1–0
H Sporting CP B1–3
Lusitânia Lourosa form
DDWDWH Farense1–1
A Felgueiras 19322–2
H Os Limianos2–1
H Chaves1–1
A Madalena1–3
Head to head
0
Feirense
0
Draw
0
Lusitânia
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa9+719
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Farense9+415
6Academica9+315
7Tondela9+215
8Vizela9+114
9União de Leiria9+214
10AVS9+112
Match preview
Our model makes Lusitânia Lourosa clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.52 for Feirense, 1.39 for Lusitânia Lourosa), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Feirense sit 18th on 2 points; Lusitânia Lourosa are 2nd on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.