Over 1.5 goals@1.83
Over 1.5
55%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Feirense
18th · 2 pts0–0FULL TIME
Benfica B
3rd · 17 pts15% Feirense
29% Draw
56% Benfica
OUR PICK
Benfica B to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
0.52 – 1.31
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.79X3.4521.78
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.38
Both scoreGG3.14NG1.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.42
NG
70%
Double chance@1.17
X2
85%
Season stats
FeirenseBenfica B0.3Goals per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game0.7
0.25Points per game1.89
0%Win rate56%
-8Goal difference5
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Feirense form
DLLLLH Benfica B0–0
A Farense2–1
A Salgueiros1–0
A Chaves1–0
H Sporting CP B1–3
Benfica B form
WDWWLH Chaves3–1
A Feirense0–0
H Felgueiras 19321–0
A Academica0–3
H Torreense0–2
Head to head
2
Feirense
1
Draw
2
Benfica
Oct 2026Feirense – Benfica B0–0
Mar 2026Benfica B – Feirense3–0
Oct 2025Feirense – Benfica B0–2
Jul 2025Feirense – Benfica B5–2
Feb 2025Benfica B – Feirense0–1
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa9+719
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Farense9+415
6Academica9+315
7Tondela9+215
8Vizela9+114
9União de Leiria9+214
10AVS9+112
Match preview
Our model makes Benfica B clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.52 for Feirense, 1.31 for Benfica B), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Feirense sit 18th on 2 points; Benfica B are 3rd on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.