Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
ROULiga I · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Arena Nationala
FCSB
6th · 21 pts4–1FULL TIME
Rapid
3rd · 30 pts23% FCSB
25% Draw
52% Rapid
OUR PICK
Rapid to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.56
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.40X3.9321.93
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.29
X2
77%
Season stats
FCSBRapid1.5Goals per game1.6
1.5Conceded per game0.9
1.62Points per game2.14
46%Win rate64%
1Goal difference10
10Form, last 5 (pts)12
FCSB form
LWWWLA Gloria Bistriţa1–0
H Rapid4–1
A FC Voluntari1–2
H Oţelul1–0
A Universitatea Craiova5–0
Rapid form
WDLWWH Csikszereda2–0
A Corvinul Hunedoara0–0
A FCSB4–1
H Corvinul Hunedoara2–0
A Universitatea Cluj3–4
Head to head
3
FCSB
2
Draw
0
Rapid
Oct 2026FCSB – Rapid4–1
Dec 2025FCSB – Rapid2–1
Aug 2025Rapid – FCSB2–2
Apr 2025Rapid – FCSB1–2
Mar 2025FCSB – Rapid3–3
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
5Universitatea Cluj13+522
6FCSB13+121
7Farul Constanta13+120
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model makes Rapid slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (0.94 for FCSB, 1.56 for Rapid), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FCSB sit 6th on 21 points; Rapid are 3rd on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.