ROULiga I · Matchday 11Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Arena Nationala

FCSB

7th · 21 pts

1–0FULL TIME

Oţelul

13th · 12 pts

53% FCSB

22% Draw

25% Oţelul

OUR PICK

FCSB to win

Model probability 53% · fair odds

1.87

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.27

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.87X4.5624.06

Goals 2.5Over1.60Under2.55

Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.20

Over 1.5

83%

Over/Under 2.5@1.60

Over 2.5

63%

Both teams to score@1.62

62%

Double chance@1.28

78%

Season stats

FCSBOţelul

1.5Goals per game1.1

1.5Conceded per game1.6

1.62Points per game0.86

46%Win rate14%

1Goal difference-6

10Form, last 5 (pts)2

FCSB form

DLWWW

A Universitatea Cluj0–0

A Gloria Bistriţa1–0

H Rapid4–1

A FC Voluntari1–2

H Oţelul1–0

Oţelul form

DLDLD

H Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1–1

A Farul Constanta4–3

H Csikszereda1–1

A FCSB1–0

H FC Bacau1–1

Head to head

FCSB

Draw

Oţelul

Oct 2026FCSB – Oţelul1–0

Apr 2026FCSB – Oţelul4–0

Feb 2026Oţelul – FCSB1–4

Sept 2025FCSB – Oţelul1–0

Dec 2024Oţelul – FCSB1–4

Liga I table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233

2Universitatea Craiova14+2432

3Rapid14+1030

4Petrolul Ploiesti14+124

5Farul Constanta14+223

6Universitatea Cluj13+522

7FCSB13+121

8Corvinul Hunedoara14019

9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118

10Uta Arad14-318

Match preview

Our model makes FCSB slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.96 for FCSB, 1.27 for Oţelul), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

FCSB sit 7th on 21 points; Oţelul are 13th on 12.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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