Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
ROULiga I · Matchday 15Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Arena Nationala
FCSB
7th · 21 pts19:30KICK-OFF WAT
Corvinul Hunedoara
8th · 19 pts43% FCSB
27% Draw
30% Corvinul
OUR PICK
FCSB to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.31X3.7523.33
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
FCSBCorvinul Hunedoara1.4Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.50Points per game1.36
43%Win rate36%
0Goal difference0
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
FCSB form
LLWWWA Universitatea Cluj1–0
A Gloria Bistriţa1–0
H Rapid4–1
A FC Voluntari1–2
H Oţelul1–0
Corvinul Hunedoara form
WDLLWH Arges Pitesti2–0
H Rapid0–0
H Universitatea Cluj0–3
A Rapid2–0
H FC Voluntari3–2
Head to head
1
FCSB
0
Draw
0
Corvinul
Jul 2024FCSB – Corvinul Hunedoara3–0
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Universitatea Cluj14+625
5Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
6Farul Constanta14+223
7FCSB14021
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model makes FCSB slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.39 for FCSB, 1.11 for Corvinul Hunedoara), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FCSB sit 7th on 21 points; Corvinul Hunedoara are 8th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.