Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
92%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Sportpark Höhenberg
FC Viktoria Köln
1st · 26 pts3–1FULL TIME
Verl
17th · 12 pts76% FC
13% Draw
10% Verl
OUR PICK
FC Viktoria Köln to win
Model probability 76% · fair odds
1.31
Expected goals
3.10 – 1.12
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.31X7.5029.57
Goals 2.5Over1.27Under4.49
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.27
Over 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
64%
Double chance@1.12
1X
90%
Season stats
FC Viktoria KölnVerl2.6Goals per game1.4
1.3Conceded per game2.2
2.17Points per game1.00
67%Win rate25%
16Goal difference-9
11Form, last 5 (pts)2
FC Viktoria Köln form
WWDDWA Hoffenheim II0–1
H Verl3–1
A MSV Duisburg1–1
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2
A Alemannia Aachen2–5
Verl form
LLLDDH SV Wehen1–4
A FC Viktoria Köln3–1
A Hoffenheim II2–1
H SSV Jahn Regensburg2–2
A Fortuna Düsseldorf2–2
Head to head
1
FC
1
Draw
3
Verl
Oct 2026FC Viktoria Köln – Verl3–1
Apr 2026Verl – FC Viktoria Köln2–0
Nov 2025FC Viktoria Köln – Verl1–5
Feb 2025Verl – FC Viktoria Köln1–1
Jan 2025FC Viktoria Köln – Verl1–3
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Viktoria Köln clear favourites, giving them a 76% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.2 goals in total (3.10 for FC Viktoria Köln, 1.12 for Verl), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Viktoria Köln sit 1st on 26 points; Verl are 17th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.