Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 9Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Sportpark Höhenberg
FC Viktoria Köln
1st · 26 pts2–2FULL TIME
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18th · 12 pts84% FC
10% Draw
6% SG
OUR PICK
FC Viktoria Köln to win
Model probability 84% · fair odds
1.19
Expected goals
3.30 – 0.83
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.19X9.68216.79
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.06
1X
94%
Season stats
FC Viktoria KölnSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2.6Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game2.2
2.17Points per game1.00
67%Win rate25%
16Goal difference-13
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
FC Viktoria Köln form
WWDDWA Hoffenheim II0–1
H Verl3–1
A MSV Duisburg1–1
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2
A Alemannia Aachen2–5
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach form
LLLWDH Rot-Weiß Essen0–1
H FC Augsburg2–4
A SV Wehen7–1
H Preußen Münster3–2
A FC Viktoria Köln2–2
Head to head
2
FC
1
Draw
0
SG
Oct 2026FC Viktoria Köln – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2
Feb 2020FC Viktoria Koln – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1–0
Aug 2019SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – FC Viktoria Koln0–3
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Viktoria Köln clear favourites, giving them a 84% chance of winning against 10% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (3.30 for FC Viktoria Köln, 0.83 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Viktoria Köln sit 1st on 26 points; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are 18th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.