Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
93%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Friday, 6 November 2026 · Sportpark Hohenberg
FC Viktoria Köln
1st · 26 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
FC Saarbrücken
4th · 20 pts62% FC
17% Draw
21% FC
OUR PICK
FC Viktoria Köln to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.76 – 1.59
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.61X5.7724.83
Goals 2.5Over1.24Under4.97
Both scoreGG1.34NG3.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.24
Over 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.34
GG
75%
Double chance@1.21
12
83%
Season stats
FC Viktoria KölnFC Saarbrücken2.6Goals per game2.3
1.3Conceded per game1.8
2.17Points per game1.67
67%Win rate50%
16Goal difference7
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
FC Viktoria Köln form
WWDDWA Hoffenheim II0–1
H Verl3–1
A MSV Duisburg1–1
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2
A Alemannia Aachen2–5
FC Saarbrücken form
WLWLDH Waldhof Mannheim2–1
A Havelse3–2
A Fortuna Düsseldorf1–3
H MSV Duisburg2–4
A Fortuna Köln0–0
Head to head
1
FC
0
Draw
4
FC
Jan 2026FC Viktoria Köln – FC Saarbrücken2–0
Aug 2025FC Saarbrücken – FC Viktoria Köln2–1
Feb 2025FC Viktoria Köln – FC Saarbrücken1–2
Sept 2024FC Saarbrücken – FC Viktoria Köln1–0
Feb 2024FC Viktoria Koln – FC Saarbrücken2–5
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Viktoria Köln clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (2.76 for FC Viktoria Köln, 1.59 for FC Saarbrücken), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Viktoria Köln sit 1st on 26 points; FC Saarbrücken are 4th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.