Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
SUISuper League · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Rheinpark Stadion
FC Vaduz
10th · 10 pts3–0FULL TIME
FC Basel 1893
7th · 14 pts44% FC
21% Draw
34% FC
OUR PICK
FC Vaduz to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.75
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X4.6922.91
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.40NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.40
GG
71%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
FC VaduzFC Basel 18932.0Goals per game1.5
2.1Conceded per game1.8
0.83Points per game1.17
25%Win rate33%
-1Goal difference-4
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
FC Vaduz form
DLWLLA Grasshoppers2–2
A Servette FC2–1
H FC Basel 18933–0
H FC Thun1–2
A FC Zurich2–1
FC Basel 1893 form
LDWLLA FC Lugano2–1
H Grasshoppers0–0
A Stade Nyonnais0–3
A FC Vaduz3–0
A FC Winterthur7–3
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano12+2634
2BSC Young Boys12+1525
3FC Sion12+723
4FC Zurich12-120
5FC ST. Gallen12-319
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189312-414
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Thun12-1013
10FC Vaduz12-110
Match preview
Our model makes FC Vaduz slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.00 for FC Vaduz, 1.75 for FC Basel 1893), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Vaduz sit 10th on 10 points; FC Basel 1893 are 7th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.