Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
SUISuper League · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Stockhorn Arena
FC Thun
9th · 13 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
FC Basel 1893
7th · 14 pts44% FC
20% Draw
36% FC
OUR PICK
FC Thun to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.29X4.9222.77
Goals 2.5Over1.28Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.32NG3.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.28
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.32
GG
76%
Double chance@1.26
12
80%
Season stats
FC ThunFC Basel 18932.0Goals per game1.5
2.8Conceded per game1.8
1.08Points per game1.17
33%Win rate33%
-10Goal difference-4
6Form, last 5 (pts)4
FC Thun form
WLLDLA Lausanne4–5
H FC Lugano2–3
H HNK Hajduk Split0–1
A FC Schaffhausen2–2
A Twente1–0
FC Basel 1893 form
LDWLLA FC Lugano2–1
H Grasshoppers0–0
A Stade Nyonnais0–3
A FC Vaduz3–0
A FC Winterthur7–3
Head to head
2
FC
0
Draw
3
FC
Aug 2026FC Basel 1893 – FC Thun4–2
May 2026FC Basel 1893 – FC Thun3–1
Apr 2026FC Thun – FC Basel 18933–1
Feb 2026FC Basel 1893 – FC Thun1–2
Sept 2025FC Thun – FC Basel 18931–3
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano12+2634
2BSC Young Boys12+1525
3FC Sion12+723
4FC Zurich12-120
5FC ST. Gallen12-319
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189312-414
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Thun12-1013
10FC Vaduz12-110
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Thun 44%, the draw 20%, FC Basel 1893 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.16 for FC Thun, 1.96 for FC Basel 1893), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Thun sit 9th on 13 points; FC Basel 1893 are 7th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.